Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Total use in Scotland is currently 290.51 of which 239.9 is CO2 producing. Cut that to by 42% & we have 139.14. Adding the current renewables, mostly hydro, we get a147.55 which is 50.79% left. Theoretically by using more gas & it could be raised marginally, at a non-marginal cost & we are promised vast numbers of windmills whose power production is minimal, intermittent & very expensive. Moreover we simply don't have the teams, barges & indeed production capacity to produce enough to have more than a token effect on this. We are also promised carbon capture power plants but they don't exist now & even if they did there is no way all our generators could be rebuilt by 2020.
A 50% reduction in power use compounded over 11 years is a 6% reduction each year. Britain already gets $6.14 of GNP per kwh of electricity ($NEK) putting us at the top of developed countries over 10 million (among undeveloped ones Mexico, Turkey, Algeria, Nigeria, Peru, Bangladesh, Ecuador, Angola, Burma, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka & Sudan are the only other ones who have worse (better to Luddites) ratios & of those only Nigeria, Angola, Burma & Sudan have the doubled ratio which Scotland would have to have if it is hoped our GNP won't collapse. All of these are poor, corupt, dictatorial, failed states, with endemic civil strife where electricity is largely confined to the capital city and whose GNPs are artificially inflated by oil. Good company eh?
Incidentally Scotland's energy exports total 1468.34 all of which will presumably be burned somewhere, just over 10 times what we are going to "save" by destroying our economy. If we sanely wanted to win the War Against Fire (assuming sanity enters into it) we could just leave 10% of it in the ground.
In the case of Mexico the Mexicans themselves have decided they would rather have energy intensive lives instead of living in their native villages. The Mexicans walk across our southern desert, with many dieing of thirst or being killed by criminals in order to have more comfortable lives. The great tragedy of this is that their children are often given citizenship and then go on to vote for the leftist party out of a sense of ethnic identity.
What Mexicans are literally dieing to obtain the Scottish parliament wants to throw away.
Southern Mexico is a giant Indian reservation, with multiple Indian languages, and rampant poverty. SM also has the threat of Indian rebellions.
Taken together, the northern part of Mexico probably has a $nek closer to the United States, with central and southern Mexico closer to Guatemala's $nek.
Really, the long term threat here in the States is that once enough of these Hispanics reach critical mass they will turn their new homes into the same shitholes they left.
What is really bad is that Cali is supposed to have large offshore oil reserves that go untapped.
There are instances where, if you can't be a good example you can at least serve as an 'orrible warning.
In fact, the iron ore to feed the Kaiser steel mill in Cali was mined in the state, not imported.
The loss of California is amazing and heartbreaking at the same time.