Saturday, April 01, 2006
ENVIROMENTALISTS COLLAPSE IS WORSE THAN PREDICTED
1) A minimum of ten million people, most of them children, will starve to death during each year. But this is a mere handful compared to the numbers that will be starving within 3 decades.
2) The battle to feed all of humanity is over. Hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.
3) To prevent overpopulation we must have population control at home, hopefully through changes in our value system, but by compulsion if voluntary methods fail.
4) Known world supplies of zinc, gold, tin, copper, oil, and natural gas would be completely exhausted in 20 years
5) If we continue our present rate of growth in electrical energy consumption it will simply take, very shortly, all our freshwater streams to cool the generators and reactors.
6) The period of global food security is over. As the demand for food continues to press against supply, inevitably real food prices will rise. The question no longer seems to be whether they will rise, but how much.
7) 40,000 species per year are going extinct and that 1 million species will be gone in 20 years.
8) the world is going to run out of oil soon if we do not conserve our resources.
9) A nuclear reactor accident could be blamed for the deaths of some 2,500 people.
OK clearly this was an April fool, however it differs from other April fool stories in being true - only the dates have been removed to protect the guilty.
(1), (2) & (3 were said by Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb & numerous other ridiculous claims, in 1971 so that starvation catastrophe that wiped out so much of the 3rd world peaked in 2001. He remains an environmentalist guru. See http://www.overpopulation.com/faq/people/paul_ehrlich.html#footnotes_2
(4) comes from the enormously influential Club of Rome report of 1973. Again the date of catastrophe has been passed without any bother (or apology).
(5) comes from a David Bower who seems like a typical twit. from www.brainyquote.com/quotes/ authors/d/david_r_brower.html
(6) is Lester Brown in 1981 another environmental guru. see http://www.reason.com/rb/rb020404.shtml
(7) Is Thomas lovejoy 1979 http://www.reason.com/rb/rb020404.shtml. he originally said "by 2000" which I changed to in 20 years - since that was about 1/4 of all species believed to exist at the time it seems he was somehat in error.
(8) Was the common expectation in the 1850s when they believed they were passing peak oil, eventually they found it was possible to obtain oil from sources other than dead whales.
(9) Was a statement from Greenpeace in 1996 referring to Chernobyl & thus has the unique virtue of being a prophesy made long after the event which was still wrong. Current official estimates are 53, which assume there will be another deaths some time in the future from radiation. See http://www.libertypost.org/cgi-bin/readart.cgi?ArtNum=133517 This last was a bit of a rush since I a know much higher estimtes were made. I remeber reading a UK newspaper the nexxt day in which they stated as fact that 10,000 people had already died & that the statements of the Soviet politicians & media that it was, then, 28 proved that they don't have the sort of trustworthy free press that we do,